Alerts, News and Background from Lebanon
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Edited by Inga Schei and Lokman Slim
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Reviewing what we think we know about Lebanon
Lebanon in Conflict 2013-2014

The introduction to this report, part of a USIP-funded endeavor, is titled “Stability vs. Instabilities.” When Hayya Bina completed its draft in mid-2015, that title seemed particularly well suited to conveying the turbulent and frequently violent conditions that affected Lebanon during the period covered by that analysis (2013 – 2014). As we release that report, however, those same conditions have continued to affect Lebanon….

Ironically, the decisions announced recently by Saudi Arabia that seek to ostracize Lebanon from the “Arab community” by increasing pressure on Hezbollah and its patron, Iran, raised U.S. concerns. Apparently, the U.S. is concerned that the effects of this Saudi reproach will prompt a revision to some elemental concepts seen as sustaining Lebanon, such as its “stability,” the role its army plays in preserving that fragile condition and the overall influence of Lebanese societal factors on the violence that has rocked the country—actions that are quite likely to continue. These considerations, addressed in the different sections of this report, are individually and collectively pivotal to the country's very survival. Considering their exigency, all are certainly worthy of being revisited.

While this report covers the period mentioned above, we believe the eight chapters contained therein, either separately or as a whole, may facilitate the development of a realistic and informed assessment of the asymmetric form of equilibrium Lebanon has been able to maintain within what has emerged as a particularly explosive regional framework.

 While this report covers the period 2013-2014, we believe the eight chapters contained therein, either separately or as a whole, may facilitate the development of a realistic and informed assessment of the asymmetric form of equilibrium Lebanon has been able to maintain within what has emerged as a particularly explosive regional framework.

 
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